S&P 500, Nasdaq bullish
By Colin Twiggs
January 9th, 2014 2:30 am ET (6:30 pm AEDT)
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Research & Investment
ASX200 Prime Momentum returned +32.88% for the 12 months ended 31st December, outperforming the ASX200 Accumulation Index by +12.58%. Comparable results for the S&P 500 are not yet available: the strategy only commenced in November 2013.
S&P 500, Nasdaq bullish
Short (3-day) retracement on the S&P 500 would indicate a strong trend. Follow-through above 1850 would confirm the target of 1910*. Rising 21-day Twiggs Money Flow highlights medium-term buying pressure.
* Target calculation: 1810 + ( 1810 - 1710 ) = 1910
CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) readings below 20 continue to indicate a bull market.
The Nasdaq 100 continues its accelerating up-trend, with rising Twiggs Money Flow troughs above the zero line indicating strong buying pressure. The last decent correction was in June 2013 and continuation of the advance much further without another correction of at least 2 to 3 weeks would suggest the market is becoming over-extended.
Canada's TSX 60 is in healthy shape, with 13-week Twiggs Money Flow troughs above zero indicating strong buying pressure. Breakout above 780 would confirm an advance to 820*. Reversal below 740 is most unlikely, but would warn of a test of primary support at 675/680.
* Target calculation: 780 + ( 780 - 740 ) = 820
Perfection is not attainable, but if we chase perfection we can catch excellence.
~ Vince Lombardi