S&P500 follows through

By Colin Twiggs
August 4th, 2013 9:00 pm EDT (11:00 am AET)

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The S&P 500 followed through above resistance at 1700, indicating an advance to 1800*. Bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow suggests selling pressure, but this is not as pronounced on the weekly chart and a peak above the May high would negate this. Reversal below support at 1675 remains unlikely, but would warn of another test of primary support at 1560.

* Target calculation: 1680 + ( 1680 - 1560 ) = 1800

The VIX below 15 indicates historically low market risk.

The Dollar Index is testing resistance at 82.50. Breakout would indicate the correction is over, suggesting an advance to 84.50. A 63-day Twiggs Momentum trough above zero would strengthen the signal.

Gold continues to test support at $1300/ounce. Breach would suggest another test of primary support at $1200, while failure of primary support would offer a target of $1050*. Dollar Index breakout above 82.50 would strengthen the bear signal. Recovery above 1350 is less likely, but would indicate continuation of the rally to $1400/ounce.

* Target calculation: 1200 - ( 1350 - 1200 ) = 1050

Without faith in his own judgment no man can go very far in this game. That is about all I have learned — to study general conditions, to take a position and stick to it.

~ Jesse Livermore