S&P 500 and 10-year Treasury yields

By Colin Twiggs
April 4th, 2013 1:00 a.m. ET (4:00 pm AEDT)

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The yield on 10-year Treasury Notes retreated below 2.00%. Falling bond yields indicate the expected time horizon for low short-term interest rates is lengthening — a negative reflection on the economy.

The first line of support for $TNX is 1.70%; breach would signal another attempt at 1.40%. Bullish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Momentum indicates that a base is forming and primary support is unlikely to be broken.

10-year Treasury yields

The S&P 500 retreated from its 2007 high at 1575.

S&P 500

* Target calculation: 1530 + ( 1530 - 1485 ) = 1575

Bearish divergence on 21-day Twiggs Money Flow continues to warn of mild selling pressure. Breach of support at 1530 — and the rising trendline — would warn of a correction.

S&P 500

The Russell 2000 Index is stronger, having broken clear of its 2007 high at 860. A correction that respects the new support level (860) would confirm a strong primary up-trend.

Russell 2000 Index

While there are structural flaws in the US economy, QE from the Fed has forced investors to increase risk in search of yield. The current advance shows no signs of ending.

Men make history and not the other way around. In periods where there is no leadership, society stands still. Progress occurs when courageous, skillful leaders seize the opportunity to change things for the better.

~ Harry S. Truman