US: Falling momentum

By Colin Twiggs
December 4th, 2012 2:30 a.m. ET (6:30 p.m. AET)

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The S&P 500 weekly chart continues to warn of a primary down-trend, with bearish divergence on 63-day Twiggs Momentum. Reversal of TMO below zero would strengthen the signal. Hardening of positions in fiscal cliff negotiations makes another test of primary support at 1350 seem inevitable. Breakout above 1425 would test resistance at 1475, but declining momentum suggests advance above 1475 is unlikely.

S&P 500 Weekly

Dow Jones Industrial Average also indicates falling momentum, with breach of the rising trendline. Respect of resistance at 13300 would re-test primary support at 12500. Reversal of 13-week Twiggs Money Flow below zero would indicate rising selling pressure.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

* Target calculation: 2400 - ( 2800 - 2400 ) = 2000

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~ Lily Tomlin