US: S&P 500 correction

By Colin Twiggs
October 23rd, 2012 10:30 p.m. ET (12:30 p.m. AET)

These extracts from my trading diary are for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as investment or trading advice. Any advice contained therein is provided for the general information of readers and does not have regard to any particular person's investment objectives, financial situation or needs and must not be construed as advice to buy, sell, hold or otherwise deal with any securities or other investments. Accordingly, no reader should act on the basis of any information contained therein without first having obtained investment advice from a suitably qualified advisor. Full terms and conditions can be found at Terms of Use.

The S&P 500 broke support at 1420, following a trend channel breakout, both signaling a correction. Reversal of 21-day Twiggs Money Flow below zero warns of renewed (medium-term) selling pressure — a peak below zero would strengthen the signal. Breach of 1400 would further strengthen the signal.

S&P 500

The Dow Jones Industrial Average similarly broke support at 13300 on the weekly chart. Bearish divergence on 63-day Twiggs Momentum indicates a weakening up-trend; reversal below zero would warn of a primary down-trend. Breach of support at 13000 — and the primary trendline — would warn that a top is forming. Recovery above 13650 is unlikely at present but would indicate an advance.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

* Target calculation: 13000 + ( 13000 - 12000 ) = 14000

Win or lose, everybody gets what they want out of the market. Some people seem to like to lose, so they win by losing money.

~ Ed Seykota