S&P 500 and Nasdaq test resistance
By Colin Twiggs
January 17th, 2012 2:00 a.m. ET (6:00 p.m. AET)
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The S&P 500 index is testing resistance at 1300. Breakout would signal a primary up-trend with a target of 1450* for the initial advance. Mild bearish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow warns of selling pressure, however, and reversal below the rising trendline would indicate another test of primary support at 1160.

* Target calculations: 1300 + ( 1300 - 1150 ) = 1450
The Nasdaq 100 is also testing resistance, at 2400. Rising 63-day Twiggs Momentum and 13-week Twiggs Money Flow both suggest an upward breakout, which would offer a target of 2800* for the initial advance.

* Target calculations: 2400 + ( 2400 - 2000 ) = 2800
Treasury yields are falling, indicating a flight to safety. Uncertainty in Europe and China is likely to hurt the market and we should only accept bull signals if they have strong confirmation.

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~ Lily Tomlin

Author: Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.
He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.