Dollar Dominates

By Colin Twiggs
September 9, 2008 6:00 a.m. ET (8:00 p.m. AET)

These extracts from my trading diary are for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as investment or trading advice. Full terms and conditions can be found at Terms of Use.


Spot gold is headed for another test of primary support at $770. Failure would offer a target of $700, calculated as $770 - ($850 - $770). Respect of support, on the other hand, would indicate further consolidation — and another test of $850.

Spot Gold daily chart

Source: Netdania

Crude Oil

West Texas Intermediate Crude broke through support at $110, warning of a primary down-trend. This would be confirmed if the key psychological level of $100 is broken. Global crude oil consumption is expected to slow as major economies edge into recession — driving prices lower.

Crude oil

Source: Netdania


The euro is in a strong down-trend, having broken support at $1.43.

Euro US dollar short-term

Penetration of the long-term rising trendline also warns of a further decline. The calculated target is $1.26, that is $1.43 - ( 1.60 - 1.43 ), but long-term support at $1.20 appears a more likely candidate.

Euro US dollar long-term

Source: Netdania

The dollar retraced to test the new resistance level after falling sharply through support at 108.50 against the yen. Respect of resistance is likely and would warn of a test of primary support at 103.50. Recovery above 111.00 is not expected, but would confirm the primary up-trend.

US dollar Yen

Source: Netdania

The Australian dollar is testing support at $0.80 against the greenback. Failure would test long-term support at $0.70.

Australian dollar US dollar

Source: Netdania

The Aussie is testing long-term support at 86 against the yen. Failure of support is likely — and would offer a target of 75.

Australian dollar Yen

Source: Netdania

Every day you spend drifting away from your goals is a waste not only of that day, but also of the additional day it takes to regain lost ground.

~ Ralph Marston

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