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Trading Diary
August 26, 2002
These extracts from my daily trading diary are
intended to illustrate the techniques used in short-term trading
and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Full terms
and conditions can be found at Terms
of Use .
USA
The Dow dropped in early trading before rallying to close up 0.5%
at 8919. Volume was low, showing a lack of commitment from
buyers.
The primary cycle is in a down-trend.
The primary cycle is in a down-trend.
The Nasdaq Composite also featured a late rally to close up 0.8% at 1391. The primary cycle is in a down-trend.
The S&P 500 gained 7 points to close at 947. The primary cycle is in a down-trend.
The Chartcraft NYSE Bullish % Indicator bull alert signal is at 44% (August 23).
Nestle' has a taste for Hershey's
The Swiss food and beverage group has made a $US 11.5 billion bid for candy-maker Hershey Foods. (more)
The Swiss food and beverage group has made a $US 11.5 billion bid for candy-maker Hershey Foods. (more)
Crude oil prices fuelled by concerns over Iraq
October crude oil futures closed up at $US 29.28 per barrel. (more)
October crude oil futures closed up at $US 29.28 per barrel. (more)
ASX Australia
The All Ordinaries fell steeply after the opening but then
steadily gained through the day to close 7 points down at 3126 on
lower volume.
The primary cycle trends down.
The primary cycle trends down.
The Stochastic (20,3,3) is below its signal line. Twiggs money
flow signals accumulation.
Woolworths [WOW]
The retailer unveiled a 22% increase in annual net profit and predicted 10% to 15% growth in the next year, only to be punished by the market because of lower than expected supermarket margins. (more)
The retailer unveiled a 22% increase in annual net profit and predicted 10% to 15% growth in the next year, only to be punished by the market because of lower than expected supermarket margins. (more)
WOW is entering a stage 3 top with relative strength (price
ratio: xao) leveling off after a strong up-trend.
The daily chart displays a symmetrical triangle formed over the
last 4 months, followed by yesterday's break down on strong
volume. There was no warning from the Twiggs money flow while
MACD has shown weakness over the past few months.
BRL Hardy [BRL]
BRL rallied strongly to break above an ascending triangle formed over the last month. Yesterday's volume was low and the 150-day moving average still has a steep downward slope, so the breakout may be premature. Relative strength (price ratio: xao) has been in a decline for the past 6 months while MACD and Twiggs money flow completed bullish divergences in July.
BRL rallied strongly to break above an ascending triangle formed over the last month. Yesterday's volume was low and the 150-day moving average still has a steep downward slope, so the breakout may be premature. Relative strength (price ratio: xao) has been in a decline for the past 6 months while MACD and Twiggs money flow completed bullish divergences in July.
Conclusion
Short-term: Avoid new entries. Slow Stochastic and MACD are on
opposite sides of their respective signal lines.
Medium-term: Wait for the All Ords to signal a reversal.
Long-term: Wait for a bull-trend on the Nasdaq or S&P 500
(primary cycle).
Colin Twiggs
Thought for the Day:
Common sense is not so common.
- Unknown
Common sense is not so common.
- Unknown
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