Trading Diary
August 8, 2002

These extracts from my daily trading diary are intended to illustrate the techniques used in short-term trading and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Full terms and conditions can be found at Terms of Use .





USA
The Dow completed a follow-through on the third day of the rally, rising 3% to close at 8712.
The primary cycle trend is downwards but a rally above 8806 will signal a reversal.

The Chartcraft NYSE Bullish % Indicator has given a bull alert signal, with a reading of 30% (August 7).

The Nasdaq Composite completed a follow-through, rallying 2.8% to close at 1316. The primary cycle is in a down-trend. A break above 1355 will signal a reversal.

The S&P 500 rallied 29 points to close at 905, another follow-=through day.
The primary cycle trends downwards. A break above 912 will signal a reversal.

 
 
ASX Australia
The All Ordinaries rallied a further 25 points to close at 3024 on average volume. The primary cycle trends down.
The Stochastic has joined MACD (26,12,9) above its signal line. Twiggs money flow is improving.
 

 
 
No chart analysis today. I have been re-visited by the 'flu and wouldn't trust anything I write to make much sense.
 




Conclusion
 
Short-term: Long. Slow Stochastic and MACD are above their respective signal lines.
Medium-term: Wait for the All Ords to signal a reversal.
Long-term: Wait for a bull-trend on the Nasdaq or S&P 500 (primary cycle).
 
Colin Twiggs
 
Thought for the Day:

Common sense is not so common.
- Voltaire.
 
 




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Colin Twiggs

Author: Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.

Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.

Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.

He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.