Trading Diary
March 27, 2002

These extracts from my daily trading diary are intended to illustrate the techniques used in short-term trading and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Full terms and conditions can be found at Terms of Use .




USA
The Dow rose 0.7% to close at 10426 on lower volume. The primary up-trend continues.
The Nasdaq Composite index closed up slightly at 1826. The primary trend is still downwards as the secondary cycle has failed to exceed its January high.
The S&P 500 rose 0.5% to close at 1144. The index is in a similar position to the Nasdaq, failing to rise above its January high.

Gold
Gold closes above $300 per ounce. (more)

Australia - ASX
The All Ords recovered to 3360 on reasonable volume. The MACD and Slow Stochastic are below their signal lines. Chaikin Money Flow shows a slight bullish divergence.



Sectors: Gold
Gold (XGO) is close to making a 3-year high while relative strength (price ratio) is rising.
 

 




Conclusion

Short-term: Avoid long.
Medium-term: Wait for a new high on the All Ords.
Long-term: Look for a reversal on the Nasdaq or S&P 500 - if they break above their January highs.


Colin Twiggs


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Colin Twiggs

Author: Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.

Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.

Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.

He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.