Trading Diary
March 15, 2002

These extracts from my daily trading diary are intended to illustrate the techniques used in short-term trading and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Full terms and conditions can be found atTerms of Use .




USA
The Dow climbed to 10607 on very high volume that is often associated with a triple-witching Friday.
The Nasdaq Composite index rallied to 1868.
The S&P 500 recovered to 1166 and is likely to test resistance at 1170 - 1180 in the days ahead.

Adspend set to recover
UBS analyst predicts that advertising revenues will recover in 2002 - good news for media stocks which have been severely affected by the advertising recession. (more)

Australia - ASX
The All Ords fell sharply during the last few minutes of triple-witching hour and a further 12 points in the 10 minutes after the close - the settlement period when our stops cannot be activated!! The final close was almost 1% down at 3357 on surprisingly normal volume. The MACD and Slow Stochastic are below their signal lines.



Harvey Norman [HVN]
The retailer posted a half-year net profit of $68 million, up almost 20%, with strong sales of entertainment goods.(more)

Sectors: Telecommunications
XTE is forming a solid Stage 1 base so keep an eye on those Telstra stocks.
 

 




Conclusion
Short-term: Avoid new positions until there are signs of a recovery.
Medium-term: No new entries until the All Ords makes a new high.
Long-term: Wait to see if the S&P 500 breaks above its January high.


Colin Twiggs


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Colin Twiggs

Author: Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.

Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.

Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.

He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.