Trading Diary
February 19, 2002

These extracts from my daily stock trading diary are intended to illustrate the techniques used in short-term share trading and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Full terms and conditions can be found at Terms of Use .




USA
The Dow closed down 1.6% at 9743 on normal volume. The Nasdaq 100 fell 3.5% to close at 1386 as tech stocks are sold down on accounting concerns.
 
IBM leads the retreat
IBM stock fell 3.3% as the company agrees to change disclosure on future transactions. (more)
 
Australia - ASX
The decline on the All Ords has slowed with the index closing at 3414 on lower volume. Expect further weakness today as the market reacts to the Dow/Nasdaq. The Slow Stochastic is still below its signal line.
 

 
Wine pool [MGW]
Brian McGuigan Wines and Simeon Wines are likely to merge. (more)
 
CSL [CSL]
Market reaction was uncertain despite the blood products group posting a 107% rise in net profits for the half year ended December 2001. (more)
 




Conclusion
 
Short-term: Avoid further new entries.
Long-term: Wait for a correction on the secondary cycle.
 
Colin Twiggs
 
 
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Colin Twiggs

Author: Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.

Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.

Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.

He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.