Trading Diary
February 6, 2002
These extracts from my daily stock
trading diary are intended to illustrate the techniques
used in short-term share trading and should not
be interpreted as investment advice. Full terms and
conditions can be found at
Terms of Use .
USA
The Dow formed an inside day, signaling
uncertainty, as it fell to 9653 on
reasonable volume. The Nasdaq 100 dropped a further 1%
to close at 1445.
Cisco beats the
Street
Cisco systems reported 2nd quarter
earnings ahead of analysts estimates. Net income was
$660 million, compared to $874 million for the same
quarter last year. (more)
Australia - ASX
The All Ords closed down at 3369 on
strong volume, with the MACD and 20-Day Slow
Stochastic both below their signal lines.
Ansett in doubt
The rescue falters as the number of jobs
saved is cut to 3000 and disputes over Sydney
terminal access continue. (more)
Macquarie
mauled [MBL]
Stocks in Macquarie Bank fell more
than 10% as earnings for the 2002 fiscal
year fail to meet market expectations.
(more)
Conclusion
Short-term: The All Ords reflects the uncertainty in the US
market. Wait for an improvement.
Long-term: Take a look at a 3 year chart
of the Dow or the Nasdaq. You will see why I
continue with my mantra: Wait for a correction on
the
secondary cycle
.
Colin Twiggs
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Author: Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.
He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.