Trading Diary
January 23, 2002
These extracts from my daily stock trading diary are intended to illustrate the techniques used in short-term share trading and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Full terms and conditions can be found at Terms of Use .




USA
The Dow closed up slightly at 9730 on reasonable volume - another inside day above the 9650 - 9700 support level showing that buyers and sellers are uncertain about the direction of the market. The Nasdaq 100 also posted an inside day, rising 3%, but the down-trend continues.
 
Chip stocks
Signs of improving demand in the semiconductor field but the big money stays out of the market. (more)
 
AOL Time Warner
AOL has to convert more subscribers to broadband and penetrate the European market in order to sustain its growth. (more)
 
Australia - ASX
More uncertainty as the All Ords closed almost unchanged at 3364 on strong volume. The doji star candlestick parttern is a mild reversal signal (the doji indicates uncertainty).
 

 
No more rate cuts?
December quarter inflation at 0.9% is almost double market expectations, making further rate cuts unlikely and sending bond yields soaring. (more)
 




Conclusion
Short-term: Wait for the MACD or MACD Histogram to signal an entry point.
Long-term trades: Wait for a correction on the secondary cycle.
 
Colin Twiggs
 
 
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Colin Twiggs

Author: Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.

Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.

Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.

He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.