This is my daily stock trading diary.
It is intended to illustrate the techniques used in
short-term share trading and should not be interpreted
as investment advice. Full terms and conditions can be
found at
Terms of Use.
USA
The Dow surged more than 2% to close at 10114, breaking
through the 10000 resistance level on strong
volume. The Nasdaq rose a further 5% (after 4%
yesterday) to close at 1720, the highest close since
August. Buyers are back in control of the market and the
rally continues.
Australia - ASX
The All Ords respected the 21-day moving average at
[R] and continued on its up-trend, closing at 3286 on
low volume. Expect a strong showing today after the
overnight performance of the Dow.
Banks
Bank stocks rallied on the back of a further 0.25% rate cut
by the Reserve Bank. (more)
The index is still in a down-trend.
But Westpac [WBC] and Commonwealth [CBA] appear to be turning
around.
Conclusion
We now have clear up-trends on the Dow and the All Ords.
Entries this late in the trend are always higher risk so only
enter trades where the stop
loss can be set within a 2% limit.
Long-term trades: Wait for a correction on the secondary cycle. Don't hold your
breath - it could take a while.
Colin Twiggs
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Author: Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.
He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.