This is my daily stock trading diary.
It is intended to illustrate the techniques used in
short-term share trading and should not be interpreted
as investment advice. Full terms and conditions can be
found at
Terms of Use.
USA
The Dow rose slightly, to close at 9851 on
reasonable volume, while the Nasdaq eased to
1596. The narrow trading range
signals decreasing eagerness, from buyers.
It ain't over ....
Paul Erdman dismisses talk that this is the start of a bull
market. (more)
Australia - ASX
The All Ords closed up slightly at 3277 on massive
volume. Far from being a positive sign take a look at
the last candle on the chart below: buyers
drove prices up in the morning only to
see sellers enter the market in large numbers and take
control by the close.
Banks exposed to Enron
Four leading Australian banks have a $600 million
exposure to troubled US energy giant, Enron Corporation.
(more)
The market reaction can be seen on the Banks & Finance
Index.
Conclusion
Short-term trades: Most short term trades have been stopped out. Avoid new entries
and tighten up stops on remaining positions.
Long-term trades: Wait for a correction on the secondary cycle.
Colin Twiggs
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Author: Colin Twiggs is a former investment banker with almost 40 years of experience in financial markets. He co-founded Incredible Charts and writes the popular Trading Diary and Patient Investor newsletters.
Using a top-down approach, Colin identifies key macro trends in the global economy before evaluating selected opportunities using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis.
Focusing on interest rates and financial market liquidity as primary drivers of the economic cycle, he warned of the 2008/2009 and 2020 bear markets well ahead of actual events.
He founded PVT Capital (AFSL No. 546090) in May 2023, which offers investment strategy and advice to wholesale clients.