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S&P 500 up-trend continues
By Colin Twiggs
January 21st, 2015 7:30 pm ET (11:30 am AEDT)
Advice herein is provided for the general information of readers and does not have regard to any particular person's investment objectives, financial situation or needs. Accordingly, no reader should act on the basis of any information contained herein without first having consulted a suitably qualified financial advisor.
The S&P 500 encountered solid support at 2000. Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates buying pressure. Recovery above the descending trendline is likely and would indicate the end of the correction. Breakout above 2080 would confirm another advance with a target of 2200*. Failure of support is unlikely, but would test the primary trendline at 1900.
* Target calculation: 2100 + ( 2100 - 2000 ) = 2200
CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) retreated below 20, reassuring that risk remains low to moderate.
Bellwether transport stock Fedex continues in a primary up-trend, signaling that economic activity levels are improving.
Small caps also remain in an up-trend, with the Russell 2000 consolidating between 10.50 and 12.0. Retreat of 13-week Twiggs Momentum close to the zero line is typical of a ranging market. Breakout above 12.00 would signal a primary advance with a target of 13.0*; follow-through above 12.10 would confirm. Reversal below 10.50 is unlikely, but would warn of a bear market.
* Target calculation: 12 + ( 12 - 11 ) = 13
Victory attained by violence is tantamount to a defeat, for it is momentary.
~ Mahatma Gandhi
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