Forex Update

By Colin Twiggs
July 27th, 2012 10:30 p.m. ET (12:30 p:m AET)

These extracts from my trading diary are for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as investment or trading advice. Full terms and conditions can be found at Terms of Use.

The euro is testing resistance at $1.23/$1.24 against the greenback. Breakout above resistance and the descending trendline would warn that the primary down-trend is weakening and a bottom is forming . Negative values on 63 -day Twiggs Momentum continue to indicate a primary down-trend and respect of resistance would favor another decline.

* Target calculation: 1.205 - ( 1.24 - 1.205 ) = 1.17

Pound Sterling is retracing to find support against the euro. Friday's doji signals uncertainty. Respect of €1.27 would mean that the up-trend is still accelerating, while respect of €1.255 would indicate a healthy trend.

* Target calculation: 1.26 + ( 1.26 - 1.23 ) = 1.29

Canada's Loonie is strengthening against the greenback on the weekly chart. Breakout above parity would confirm a test of $1.02*. Fluctuation of 63 -day Twiggs Momentum around zero, between 3% and -3%, would indicate a ranging market.

The Aussie dollar is testing resistance at $1.045/$1.05 against the greenback. Breakout would offer an initial target of $1.08*. Recovery of 63 -day Twiggs Momentum above zero suggests a primary up-trend.

* Target calculation: 1.05 + ( 1.05 - 1.02 ) = 1.08

The Aussie is also testing resistance at 82/82.50 Japanese yen. Breakout would offer an initial target of 84.50* and a medium-term target of 88.

* Target calculation: 82 + ( 82 - 79.5 ) = 84.5

Against the South African Rand, the Aussie is retracing to test support at R8.50. Respect would offer an initial target of R9.00*. Rising 63 -day Twiggs Momentum continues to indicate a primary up-trend.

* Target calculation: 8.75 + ( 8.75 - 8.50 ) = 9.00

The shield may be as important for victory as the sword or spear.

~ Charles Darwin