Crude and commodities signal recovery

By Colin Twiggs
February 20th, 2013 3:00 p.m. ET (7:00 a:m AEDT)

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The Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index followed through above resistance at 128, after breaking its descending trendline, completing a double bottom reversal with a target of 134*. Breakout above 134 would confirm a primary up-trend.

* Target calculation: 128 + ( 128 - 122 ) = 134

Nymex Light Crude followed, completing a large double bottom reversal, with a target of $110/barrel*. Recovery of 13-week Momentum above zero indicates a primary up-trend. Brent crude continues to range between $106 and $112/barrel.

* Target calculation: 100 + ( 100 - 90 ) = 110

Rising commodity prices suggest that the global economy is recovering, but copper (widely considered a bellwether for the global economy) has yet to follow. Bullish divergence on 13-week Twiggs Momentum favors an upward breakout. Breakout above $7500/tonne (and the descending trendline) would signal a primary up-trend.

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