Europe: Unleash the bulls
By Colin Twiggs
September 16th, 2013 2:30 a.m. EDT (4:30 p.m. AET)
Spain's Madrid General Index broke resistance at 900, indicating a long-term advance to 1050* (960* in the medium-term). Rising 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates buying pressure. Reversal below 840 is unlikely, but would warn of a bull trap.
* Target calculation: 900+(900-750)=1050; 900+(900-840)=960
Germany's DAX is similarly testing resistance at 8500. Breakout would offer a medium-term target of 9000* and a long-term target of 9500*. Recovery of 13-week Twiggs Momentum above 10% would also signal continuation of the primary up-trend.
* Target calculation: 8500+(8500-8000)=9000; 8500+(8500-7500)=9500
France's CAC-40 is testing resistance at 4120. Breakout would offer a medium-term target of 4300*, but follow-through above its 2011 high at 4200 would also confirm a long-term advance to 4500*. Reversal below 3900 is unlikely but would warn of a bull trap.
* Target calculation: 4100+(4100-3900)=4300; 4050+(4050-3600)=4500
Italy's MIB Index is also testing resistance, at 17700. Money Flow indicates strong buying pressure and breakout above 18000 would signal a long-term advance to 20000*. Reversal below 16500 is most unlikely, but would again warn of a bull trap.
* Target calculation: 17500 + ( 17500 - 15000 ) = 20000
The FTSE 100 is far more subdued, encountering resistance at 6600 after an end to the recent correction. Follow-through above 6700 would signal a medium-term advance to the 1999 high of 7000*, but reversal below 6500 would warn of another test of medium-term support at 6400. Failure of 6400, while unlikely, would test primary support at 6000.
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