Europe on the rise

By Colin Twiggs
March 18th, 2012 6:00 a.m. ET (10:00 p.m. AET)

These extracts from my trading diary are for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as investment or trading advice. Full terms and conditions can be found at Terms of Use.

Dow Jones Europe Index broke through 260 to signal a primary up-trend. Respect of the zero line by 13-week Twiggs Money Flow confirms strong buying pressure. Target for the advance is 310*.

* Target calculations: 260 + ( 260 - 210 ) = 310

Italy's MIB Index reflects a similar pattern, signaling an advance to 21000*.

* Target calculations: 17 + ( 17 - 13 ) = 21

The FTSE 100 is already in a primary up-trend. A trough high above zero on 13-week Twiggs Money Flow indicates strong buying pressure and a likely breakout above resistance at 6100.

* Target calculations: 5700 + ( 5700 - 5000 ) = 6400

The DAX shows similar strong buying pressure and breakout above the 2011 high of 7500 is likely.

* Target calculations: 6400 + ( 6400 - 5700 ) = 7400

Let me introduce Mauldin's Rule of Thumb Concerning Unintended Consequences: For every government law hurriedly passed in response to a current or recent crisis, there will be two or more unintended consequences, which will have equal or greater negative effects then the problem it was designed to fix. A corollary is that unelected institutions are at least as bad and possibly worse than elected governments. A further corollary is that laws passed to appease a particular group, whether voters or a particular industry, will have at least three unintended consequences, most of which will eventually have the opposite effect than the intended outcomes and transfer costs to innocent bystanders.

~ John Mauldin